Comparison of Flood Frequency at Different Climatic Scenarios in Forested Coastal Watersheds

نویسندگان

چکیده

Climate change-induced extreme precipitation causes coastal flooding. A streamflow simulation in watersheds, Wolf River Watershed (WRW) and Jourdan (JRW), was conducted using the Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to compare variation flow at different climates analyze flood frequency. Baseline models were auto-calibrated with SWAT calibration uncertainty programs (SWAT-CUP). Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE), defined as objective function SWAT-CUP, ranged from 0.8 0.7 WRW 0.55 0.68 JRW during calibration–validation process. Results indicated reliability of model performances. Monthly averaged baseline 1% greater than historical 8.9% lower future climate WRW. In JRW, monthly 11% 5.7% climate. Flood frequency analysis showed highest exceedance probability annual maximum series (AMS) WRW, whereas AMS projected estimated JRW. This study aids preparing for management.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Climate

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2225-1154']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/cli11020041